Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 59 |
| $0.750 |
| $44.25 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.740 | $39.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 81 | $0.490 | $39.69 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 73 | $0.510 | $37.23 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.114 | $7.75 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.116 | $7.89 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.058 | $2.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 48 | $0.860 | $41.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.460 | $46.46 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 51 | $0.910 | $46.41 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 51 | $0.910 | $46.41 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 82 | $0.410 | $33.62 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.380 | $15.96 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.430 | $18.06 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 93 | $0.540 | $50.22 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.100 | $7.2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.160 | $11.52 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 102 | $0.470 | $47.94 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.580 | $40.6 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 59 | $0.931 | $54.93 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 38.2 | $0.931 | $35.56 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 40.55 | $0.952 | $38.6 | May 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.211 | $33.34 | May 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.144 | $26.5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 19 | $0.252 | $4.79 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 68 | $0.016 | $1.07 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.014 | $0.17 | May 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.985 | $2.96 | May 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.985 | $35.46 | May 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.984 | $3.1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 21 | $0.956 | $20.08 | May 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.955 | $20.06 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | May 19, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.985 | $35.46 | May 19, 2026 |
 Skye Valadez confirmed perp?No | sell | 0.98 | $0.997 | $0.98 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.986 | $1.97 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Skye Valadez confirmed perp?No | sell | 3 | $0.974 | $2.92 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 24 | $0.985 | $23.64 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.968 | $23.23 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 24 | $0.988 | $23.71 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?No | sell | 24 | $0.965 | $23.16 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 24 | $0.972 | $23.33 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.031 | $0.16 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.033 | $1.19 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.942 | $19.78 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.035 | $1.19 | Sep 25, 2025 |