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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 216.37K | $0.873 | $207.83K | +$19.04K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.33K | $0.920 | $9.5K | Aug 6, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 139.84K |
| $0.903 |
| $134.46K |
| +$8.19K |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 70K | $0.840 | $66.15K | +$7.35K |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 57.63K | $0.891 | $56.68K | +$5.32K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 60.23K | $0.825 | $56.61K | +$6.93K |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 31.59K | $0.876 | $29.53K | +$1.86K |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.68K | $0.878 | $25.21K | +$1.78K |
| sell |
| 10K |
| $0.940 |
| $9.4K |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 292.39 | $0.920 | $269 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 130.9 | $0.955 | $125 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 217.12 | $0.958 | $208 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 11.43K | $0.930 | $10.63K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 477.76 | $0.930 | $444.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 183.76 | $0.985 | $181 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 276.81 | $0.979 | $271 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.864 | $4.33K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 5K | $0.870 | $4.35K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 9.91K | $0.863 | $8.55K | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 10K | $0.860 | $8.6K | May 16, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 52.15 | $0.959 | $50 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.977 | $1.01K | May 13, 2026 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 127.04 | $0.967 | $122.8 | May 9, 2026 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 50.53 | $0.964 | $48.7 | May 4, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 8.22K | $0.850 | $6.99K | May 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 7K | $0.998 | $6.99K | May 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 4.05K | $0.850 | $3.44K | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 3.45K | $0.999 | $3.44K | May 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 397.68 | $0.850 | $338.03 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 2.64K | $0.830 | $2.19K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 789.83 | $0.830 | $655.56 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 11.36K | $0.880 | $10K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 5.88K | $0.840 | $4.94K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 4.88K | $0.860 | $4.2K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 5K | $0.840 | $4.2K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 8.3K | $0.860 | $7.14K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 8.5K | $0.840 | $7.14K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 673.27 | $0.820 | $552.08 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 617 | $0.830 | $512.11 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 110.73 | $0.870 | $96.38 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 856.71 | $0.860 | $736.77 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | sell | 743.4 | $0.991 | $736.77 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 91.23 | $0.860 | $78.46 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 943.82 | $0.942 | $889.43 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 375.54 | $0.940 | $353 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 23.47K | $0.890 | $20.89K | Feb 17, 2026 |
| X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.959 | $1.11K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.940 | $1.42K | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 20K | $0.850 | $17K | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.974 | $2K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.73K | $0.976 | $30K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.880 | $44K | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No | buy | 964.33 | $0.920 | $887.18 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No | buy | 782.33 | $0.920 | $719.74 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.46K | $0.860 | $2.11K | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 530.67 | $0.890 | $472.3 | Jan 12, 2026 |