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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.7 | $0.045 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.130 | $5.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.140 |
| $1.4 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.973 | $21.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 63 | $0.150 | $9.45 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.150 | $3.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.973 | $45.73 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 88 | $0.520 | $45.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 88 | $0.520 | $45.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.790 | $45.82 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.790 | $45.82 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.930 | $41.85 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.890 | $40.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 44 | $0.450 | $19.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 49 | $0.810 | $39.69 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.810 | $39.69 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.028 | $0.31 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.031 | $2.76 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.050 | $2.2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.290 | $7.54 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 47 | $0.954 | $44.84 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 47 | $0.953 | $44.79 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.970 | $44.62 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.057 | $2.51 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 56 | $0.690 | $38.64 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 56 | $0.680 | $38.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.050 | $0.1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?No | sell | 4 | $0.997 | $3.99 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 23 | $0.959 | $22.06 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 22 | $0.994 | $21.87 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 24 | $0.914 | $21.94 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 24 | $0.915 | $21.96 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.981 | $10.79 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.984 | $21.65 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.036 | $0.43 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.983 | $15.73 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.037 | $3.74 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 41 | $0.989 | $40.55 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 41 | $0.994 | $40.75 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 46 | $0.951 | $43.75 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.983 | $15.73 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.961 | $15.38 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $112K August 4–10?No | sell | 16 | $0.997 | $15.95 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 46 | $0.950 | $43.7 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?No | sell | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?No | sell | 34 | $0.981 | $33.35 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 7 | $0.985 | $6.9 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 12 | $0.990 | $11.88 | Aug 8, 2025 |