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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 597.64 | $0.837 | $510.99 | +$10.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 624.59 | $0.640 | $399.74 | 18d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 624.59 |
| $0.640 |
| $327.91 |
| -$71.83 |
| buy |
| 597.64 |
| $0.837 |
| $500 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 409.4 | $0.877 | $359.22 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 325.2 | $0.615 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 226.74 | $0.760 | $172.32 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 259.26 | $0.374 | $97 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 118.92 | $0.740 | $88 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.115 | $88.46 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 94.59 | $0.740 | $70 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 171.6 | $0.810 | $139 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 409.41 | $0.733 | $300 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.160 | $320 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.260 | $200 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.150 | $300 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.087 | $100 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 806.25 | $0.160 | $129 | Nov 29, 2025 |