Analytics
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 134.66 | $0.830 | $111.77 | May 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 400 |
| $0.277 |
| $110.8 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 134.66 | $0.660 | $88.87 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.620 | $117.8 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 169.33 | $0.591 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.230 | $36.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 13.78 | $0.660 | $9.09 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 2?Yes | buy | 339.15 | $0.059 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 281.69 | $0.710 | $200 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 98.73 | $0.800 | $78.98 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 99.98 | $0.850 | $84.98 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 439.75 | $0.290 | $127.53 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 148.03 | $0.934 | $138.26 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 679.99 | $0.840 | $571.19 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 300 | $0.430 | $129 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 457.34 | $0.981 | $448.88 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 98.73 | $0.530 | $52.33 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 300 | $0.360 | $108 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in December 2025?Yes | buy | 59.85 | $0.080 | $4.77 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in December 2025?Yes | buy | 249.43 | $0.160 | $40 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?Yes | buy | 198.76 | $0.126 | $25 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?Yes | buy | 238.81 | $0.142 | $34 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?Yes | buy | 86.35 | $0.062 | $5.35 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in December 2025?Yes | buy | 65.16 | $0.076 | $4.95 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 148.04 | $0.912 | $135 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 468.75 | $0.320 | $150 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 457.33 | $0.633 | $289.59 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 21.88 | $0.320 | $7 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 390.63 | $0.320 | $125 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 914.67 | $0.670 | $612.83 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 384.61 | $0.380 | $146.15 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes | sell | 317.26 | $0.997 | $316.32 | Nov 18, 2025 |