chainedbird is down $347.19 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.120 | $10.83 | -$9.17 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 08:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 09:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 09:47 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-04 00:58 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $960.07 and losing ones cost $72.33 across 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $141.15 on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $31.22 on “Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?” (Yes).
It has traded 127 markets. Its open positions are worth $17.58 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.100 |
| $6.75 |
| -$23.25 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.