Latest trade
Jul 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:08 PM UTC.
Analytics
chainedbird is down $347.19 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:08 PM UTC.
$12 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Jun 21, 2026 UTC to Jul 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.120 | $9.17 | -$10.83 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total Corners AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5 | buy | 41.44 | $0.403 | $16.7 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 11:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:08 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-04 00:58 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $960.07 and losing ones cost $72.33 across 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $141.15 on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $31.22 on “Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?” (Yes).
It first traded on 6 Jan 2026 and most recently on 4 Jul 2026, 112 days ago. It has traded 127 markets. Its open positions are worth $15.92 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.100 |
| $6.75 |
| -$23.25 |
| buy |
| 51.09 |
| $0.191 |
| $9.76 |
| Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 30.8 | $0.500 | $15.4 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 18.46 | $0.650 | $12 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | buy | 29.96 | $0.261 | $7.82 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder | buy | 27.78 | $0.540 | $15 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder | buy | 18.75 | $0.320 | $6 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder | buy | 36.84 | $0.570 | $21 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | buy | 40.3 | $0.194 | $7.81 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | buy | 29.55 | $0.500 | $14.77 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under | sell | 16.39 | $0.822 | $13.47 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners | buy | 26.59 | $0.369 | $9.81 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 20.75 | $0.530 | $11 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 26.09 | $0.460 | $12 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 20.52 | $0.520 | $10.67 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5 AND Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 AND Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 AND Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | buy | 28.28 | $0.311 | $8.81 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
 Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes | buy | 93 | $0.078 | $7.3 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes | buy | 52.38 | $0.210 | $11 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 29.9 | $0.502 | $15 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver | buy | 28.06 | $0.356 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver | buy | 22.65 | $0.530 | $12 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 21.7 | $0.530 | $11.5 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.520 | $13 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | sell | 32.09 | $0.420 | $13.48 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 32.09 | $0.430 | $13.8 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Over | buy | 31.37 | $0.510 | $16 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 23.08 | $0.650 | $15 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score AND Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | buy | 31.06 | $0.161 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | buy | 22.61 | $0.442 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 23.78 | $0.450 | $10.7 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 35.82 | $0.550 | $19.7 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 20.97 | $0.620 | $13 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 16.21 | $0.480 | $7.78 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 20.8 | $0.500 | $10.4 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 30.7 | $0.570 | $17.5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 67.19 | $0.089 | $5.98 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 36.17 | $0.470 | $17 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 22.72 | $0.999 | $22.7 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 27.78 | $0.540 | $15 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.