Latest trade
Apr 29, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:05 PM UTC.
Analytics
Bogus-Paperback has made $280.8 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 29, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:05 PM UTC.
$205.97 median trade
Its latest 32 trades covered 14 markets; 50.0% were buys. They run from Jan 4, 2026 UTC to Apr 29, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.063 | $62.94 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 22:05 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
32 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 22:05 UTC
polymarket positions
15 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $653.67 and losing ones cost $372.88 across 14 settled positions. 64.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $378.59 on “Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?” (Yes); the largest loss, $198.06 on “Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 29 Apr 2026. It has traded 14 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 828.9 |
| $0.986 |
| $817.3 |
| Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 572.13 | $0.360 | $205.97 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 828.91 | $0.789 | $654.25 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 513.36 | $0.512 | $262.8 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 534.32 | $0.733 | $391.45 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.814 | $852.32 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 476.67 | $0.748 | $356.34 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 579.67 | $0.930 | $539.04 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 476.68 | $0.863 | $411.21 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 555.27 | $0.741 | $411.21 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 555.27 | $0.740 | $410.9 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Hornets vs. PacersHornets | sell | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Hornets vs. PacersHornets | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.52K | $0.304 | $462.19 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.337 | $512.68 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 3.17K | $0.004 | $12.69 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 3.17K | $0.014 | $45.1 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 572.14 | $0.360 | $205.97 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 435.26 | $0.486 | $211.61 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 435.26 | $0.459 | $200 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 446.83 | $0.300 | $133.88 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 596.99 | $0.359 | $214.31 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 875.27 | $0.251 | $219.57 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 875.28 | $0.216 | $189.3 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 597 | $0.329 | $196.55 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 298.32 | $0.461 | $137.59 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.350 | $49 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 298.32 | $0.334 | $99.62 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.250 | $35 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 132.85 | $0.200 | $26.57 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.