Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.99 | $0.952 | $0.97 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.039 | $1.99 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 60 |
| $0.037 |
| $2.22 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 57 | $0.921 | $52.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 104 | $0.480 | $49.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.450 | $49.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.480 | $15.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.180 | $8.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.630 | $21.42 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.620 | $21.08 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.580 | $14.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.590 | $14.75 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 51 | $0.770 | $39.27 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.570 | $53.58 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.810 | $48.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.810 | $6.48 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.953 | $53.37 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.130 | $8.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.130 | $8.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.270 | $2.16 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.270 | $27.27 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 73 | $0.730 | $53.29 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 73 | $0.730 | $53.29 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.277 | $15.79 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 19.4 | $0.952 | $18.47 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.190 | $14.25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 30 | $0.953 | $28.59 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.969 | $29.07 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.780 | $26.52 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 33 | $0.955 | $31.51 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.958 | $31.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.226 | $20.79 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 8 | $0.941 | $7.53 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.942 | $1.36 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.024 | $0.24 | May 20, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.024 | $0.12 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.018 | $0.13 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.019 | $0.95 | May 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.059 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.018 | $0.74 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.949 | $9.49 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.948 | $9.48 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No | sell | 9 | $0.983 | $8.85 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | sell | 9 | $0.964 | $8.68 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 9 | $0.984 | $8.86 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 9 | $0.983 | $8.85 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.990 | $1.3 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?No | buy | 10 | $0.904 | $9.04 | Apr 23, 2025 |