Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:10 AM UTC.
Analytics
Rapid Kestrel 6F7F has made $6.72 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:10 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 17, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | No | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?Up | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 15h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 06:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 02:10 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 02:10 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 06:30 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $30.86 and losing ones cost $33.79 across the latest 50 settled positions. 34% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.51 on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.03 on “Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of August 31 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 93 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.97 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.37 |
| $0.730 |
| $1.18 |
| +$0.18 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | No | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | Yes | 1.69 | $0.590 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
| buy |
| 1.37 |
| $0.730 |
| $1 |
| 23h ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 7d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14?Up | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 8d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13?Down | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 10d ago |
 Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.95B?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on October 2?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?Up | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of September 28 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in September?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Trump renames AI by September 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 28d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?Up | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 29d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?Down | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 29d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?Down | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.