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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 112.29 | $0.045 | $5 | May 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 597.12 |
| $0.025 |
| $15 |
| May 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 150.2 | $0.067 | $10 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 75.63 | $0.264 | $20 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.380 | $40 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?No | sell | 156.51 | $0.450 | $70.43 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.014 | $4 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 401 | $0.010 | $4 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | sell | 98.64 | $0.490 | $48.31 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 156.51 | $0.350 | $54.78 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?No | sell | 17.64 | $0.900 | $15.88 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 81.11 | $0.185 | $15 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 131.09 | $0.046 | $6 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.100 | $6 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.340 | $6 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 98.64 | $0.101 | $10 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.059 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 120.53 | $0.083 | $10 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 384.08 | $0.026 | $10 | Feb 24, 2025 |