Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.350 | $1.98 | -$3.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 4.76 |
| $0.210 |
| $0.67 |
| -$0.33 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 8.11 | $0.370 | $0.53 | -$2.47 |
| buy |
| 10.65 |
| $0.939 |
| $10 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.064 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.010 | $0.14 | May 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.045 | $3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.982 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.390 | $4.82 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.083 | $0.83 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?No | buy | 8.73 | $0.330 | $2.88 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.162 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes | buy | 62.14 | $0.483 | $30 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?Yes | sell | 12.34 | $0.999 | $12.33 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?No | buy | 73.42 | $0.068 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 313.72 | $0.500 | $156.86 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 232.91 | $0.429 | $100 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.510 | $60 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.999 | $23.23 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 21.92 | $0.260 | $5.7 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 30.29 | $0.350 | $10.6 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 43.33 | $0.090 | $3.9 | Jan 11, 2025 |