Latest trade
May 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:47 AM UTC.
Analytics
Earnest-Installation is down $212.84 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:47 AM UTC.
$150 median trade
Its latest 29 trades covered 14 markets; 62.1% were buys. They run from Mar 4, 2026 UTC to May 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 236.95 | $0.709 | $7.7 | -$160.31 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.600 | $7 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 11:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
29 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 11:47 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:08 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $477.12 and losing ones cost $421.6 across 10 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $300.11 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $262.94 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 May 2026. It has traded 14 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.7 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 33.59 |
| $0.228 |
| $7.66 |
| May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 33.59 | $0.440 | $14.78 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Yes | sell | 151 | $0.102 | $15.4 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 236.95 | $0.709 | $168.01 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 773 | $0.220 | $170.06 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 151.25 | $0.650 | $98.31 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.29K | $0.007 | $100 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 513.39 | $0.314 | $161.35 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 546.87 | $0.660 | $360.93 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 773.21 | $0.560 | $433 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 546.88 | $0.640 | $350 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.630 | $393.75 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.640 | $400 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 637.51 | $0.228 | $145.65 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 637.52 | $0.235 | $150 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 574.96 | $0.998 | $573.81 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 374.96 | $0.733 | $275 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 679.54 | $0.948 | $644.36 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.250 | $7 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 90.24 | $0.080 | $7.22 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 322.75 | $0.505 | $163 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 165.55 | $0.984 | $162.9 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 90.24 | $0.410 | $37 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 188.29 | $0.200 | $37.66 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 328.79 | $0.530 | $174.26 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 188.3 | $0.370 | $69.67 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 165.56 | $0.842 | $139.4 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.