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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 341.9 | $0.234 | $68.89 | -$11.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 267.84 |
| $0.280 |
| $20.09 |
| -$54.91 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 152.42 | $0.172 | $2.51 | -$23.66 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 46.15 | $0.065 | $1.59 | -$1.41 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.71 | $0.350 | $0.83 | -$1.17 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.380 | $0.34 | -$1.66 |
| sell |
| 27.72 |
| $0.036 |
| $1 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 38.91 | $0.257 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.065 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 155.64 | $0.257 | $40 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.054 | $6.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 645.18 | $0.080 | $51.61 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 52.19 | $0.032 | $1.67 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.086 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?Yes | sell | 124.36 | $0.060 | $7.46 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 147.35 | $0.204 | $30 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Yes | sell | 623.24 | $0.054 | $33.78 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?Yes | buy | 124.37 | $0.378 | $47.06 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Yes | buy | 394.74 | $0.190 | $75 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 609.8 | $0.200 | $121.96 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Yes | buy | 52.7 | $0.604 | $31.81 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 195.28 | $0.051 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 203.26 | $0.206 | $41.78 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.690 | $2.16 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Yes | buy | 50.8 | $0.250 | $12.7 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 347.23 | $0.036 | $12.59 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 448.52 | $0.054 | $24.22 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 925.93 | $0.054 | $50 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No | buy | 669.31 | $0.030 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 33.61 | $0.360 | $12.1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.230 | $7 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 216.12 | $0.180 | $38.9 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.73 | $0.109 | $3.03 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Yes | buy | 181.25 | $0.016 | $2.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Yes | buy | 397.56 | $0.013 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.47 | $0.560 | $10.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.716 | $6.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.050 | $80 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 534.08 | $0.094 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.176 | $180 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 317.23 | $0.998 | $316.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 317.23 | $0.957 | $303.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.293 | $301.42 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 642.88 | $0.289 | $186 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.225 | $288.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 317.42 | $0.177 | $56.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.47 | $0.570 | $5.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 254.63 | $0.067 | $17.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 76.37 | $0.065 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |