Latest trade
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:26 PM UTC.
Analytics
Definite-Election is down $97.9 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:26 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Jun 11, 2026 UTC to Oct 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 350.01 | $0.560 | $281.75 | +$85.75 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | 17d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 16:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 16:26 UTC
polymarket positions
39 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $95.89 and losing ones cost $190.15 across 37 settled positions. 43.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $13.1 on “Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?” (No); the largest loss, $27.75 on “Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Oct 2026. It has traded 42 markets. Its open positions are worth $520.51 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 135.02 |
| $0.741 |
| $122.87 |
| +$22.87 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 70.47 | $0.710 | $60.96 | +$10.96 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 61.73 | $0.810 | $54.63 | +$4.63 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
| buy |
| 15.15 |
| $0.330 |
| $5 |
| Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.76 | $0.727 | $10 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?No | sell | 64.51 | $0.490 | $31.61 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.557 | $11.14 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 34.14 | $0.059 | $2 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 26.17 | $0.229 | $6 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.52 | $0.221 | $1 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.860 | $11.94 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 32.68 | $0.153 | $5 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 32.68 | $0.153 | $5 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.953 | $21.65 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.780 | $11.82 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 86.2 | $0.663 | $57.16 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | sell | 120.48 | $0.892 | $107.48 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.39 | $0.610 | $10.61 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 86.21 | $0.580 | $50 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.76 | $0.114 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 40.81 | $0.308 | $12.56 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?No | buy | 54.26 | $0.369 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.575 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes | sell | 10.3 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 91.46 | $0.790 | $72.25 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.485 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETDown | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 364.28 | $0.550 | $200.35 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.