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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.61 | $0.347 | $1.6 | May 30, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 1.86 |
| $0.880 |
| $1.64 |
| May 30, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.910 | $1.7 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.971 | $1.74 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.829 | $1.49 | May 23, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.92 | $0.521 | $1.52 | May 23, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.506 | $1.48 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.965 | $0.18 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.930 | $0.55 | May 2, 2026 |
 Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.740 | $0.87 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No | sell | 4.43 | $0.965 | $4.27 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.92 | $0.215 | $1.06 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 12.91 | $0.388 | $5.01 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 6.75 | $0.860 | $5.81 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 71.81 | $0.206 | $14.79 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.840 | $10.11 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 77.07 | $0.215 | $16.57 | May 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 18.89 | $0.930 | $17.57 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 21.88 | $0.899 | $19.67 | May 2, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 34.52 | $0.901 | $31.1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 40 | $0.799 | $31.96 | May 2, 2026 |
| Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?No | sell | 38.79 | $0.685 | $26.58 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 330.22 | $0.106 | $35 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?No | sell | 60 | $0.973 | $58.38 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 240.48 | $0.264 | $63.49 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 102.04 | $0.981 | $100.1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No | sell | 110.74 | $0.965 | $106.86 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 148.31 | $0.860 | $127.55 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.868 | $13.02 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.858 | $12.87 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.950 | $14.25 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.900 | $13.5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.900 | $13.5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.5 | $0.910 | $4.1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.820 | $12.3 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 11.77 | $0.890 | $10.48 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.894 | $13.41 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.920 | $13.8 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.900 | $13.5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.910 | $13.65 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.910 | $13.65 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.940 | $14.1 | May 2, 2026 |