Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.786 | $89.27 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes| sell |
| 156.69 |
| $0.610 |
| $95.58 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 169.18 | $0.881 | $149.08 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 142.85 | $0.830 | $118.57 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 106.66 | $0.958 | $102.18 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 104.38 | $0.955 | $99.68 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.974 | $0.99 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | sell | 47.61 | $0.855 | $40.72 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 16?Up | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 34.21 | $0.877 | $30 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 16?Up | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.840 | $40 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 156.7 | $0.638 | $100 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 22.94 | $0.872 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | sell | 23.26 | $0.890 | $20.7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 104.38 | $0.958 | $100 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 105.6 | $0.947 | $100 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 110.86 | $0.902 | $100 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.500 | $1.04 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.892 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.903 | $1.02 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.848 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?Up | sell | 1.09 | $0.940 | $1.02 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?Up | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.884 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.936 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.770 | $1.09 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.870 | $1.31 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |