Latest trade
Jun 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:45 PM UTC.
Analytics
capon1 is down $321.24 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 17 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:45 PM UTC.
$16.75 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 17 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from May 11, 2026 UTC to Jun 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.350 | $7.8 | -$13.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 781 | $0.006 | $4.69 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-19 10:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 18:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 18:45 UTC
polymarket positions
18 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-19 10:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $143.4 and losing ones cost $254.39 across 17 settled positions. 52.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $42.17 on “Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $109.01 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Jun 2026. It has traded 24 markets. Its open positions are worth $10.97 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 135 |
| $0.082 |
| $3.17 |
| -$7.9 |
| buy |
| 98.43 |
| $0.006 |
| $0.59 |
| Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.450 | $30.15 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.450 | $30.15 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.155 | $15.5 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.060 | $10.8 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.880 | $58.08 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.330 | $49.5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.757 | $49.96 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.590 | $35.4 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.320 | $9.6 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.380 | $14.44 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.380 | $5.7 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.450 | $18 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.530 | $21.2 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.790 | $31.6 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.98 | $0.672 | $26.87 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.04 | $0.683 | $22.57 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.683 | $2.37 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.683 | $2.37 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.319 | $28.71 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 132 | $0.999 | $131.87 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.241 | $9.64 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 34.1 | $0.237 | $8.08 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 102 | $0.730 | $74.46 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.720 | $25.2 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.082 | $11.07 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.820 | $34.44 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.032 | $49.75 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.550 | $31.35 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.840 | $29.4 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 25 | $0.992 | $24.8 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 56.12 | $0.024 | $1.35 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 52.77 | $0.024 | $1.27 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.024 | $0.02 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 63.81 | $0.024 | $1.53 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 52.48 | $0.024 | $1.26 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.024 | $0.6 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.024 | $0.72 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 46.6 | $0.024 | $1.12 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 66.48 | $0.024 | $1.6 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.