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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.93 | $0.270 | $19.96 | Mar 4, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 48.81 |
| $0.486 |
| $23.72 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.180 | $13.85 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | sell | 48.83 | $0.930 | $45.41 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | sell | 28.37 | $0.740 | $20.99 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 75.98 | $0.510 | $38.75 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 21.54 | $0.450 | $9.69 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jan 29, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes | buy | 171.56 | $0.424 | $72.72 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | sell | 76.55 | $0.950 | $72.72 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | buy | 76.55 | $0.920 | $70.43 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.344 | $40 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.120 | $54.54 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.041 | $8.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 248.51 | $0.156 | $38.86 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 248.51 | $0.121 | $30 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Pistons vs. HawksHawks | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Knicks vs. HeatHeat | buy | 51.92 | $0.520 | $27 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)Team Falcons | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 15?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.007 | $9.2 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 15?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 12?No | sell | 151.81 | $0.998 | $151.51 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 12?No | buy | 151.82 | $0.830 | $126.01 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 15?Yes | sell | 392.3 | $0.001 | $0.39 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 263.15 | $0.013 | $3.37 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 14?Yes | sell | 370.37 | $0.008 | $2.96 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 13?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.230 | $30 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 15?Yes | buy | 392.31 | $0.013 | $5 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 14?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.054 | $20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 249.5 | $0.020 | $4.99 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.076 | $20 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.180 | $30 | Apr 23, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 499 | $0.010 | $4.99 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Zelenskyy impeached before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.410 | $205 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Zelenskyy impeached before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Feb 7, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?No | buy | 83.56 | $0.660 | $55.15 | Feb 5, 2025 |