Will the government shutdown end November 14?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 13, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.7M

Resolved

Settled

Nov 13, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 5.3% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 5.3% on 11 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 13 Nov 2025. $2.7M traded over the market's life.

480 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 4:30 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 13 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.38M
LlamaEnjoyer	Yes	74.51K
TheWashingtons	Yes	48.68K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	46.87K

10 of 480 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) of the first day which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. A qualifying announcement date will determine this market's resolution, even if OPM lists a later reopening date (e.g., if OPM announces on November 10 that the government will reopen on November 11, the market will resolve to November 10). Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).