Latest trade
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:51 PM UTC.
Analytics
Gleaming-Caramel is down $200.24 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:51 PM UTC.
$24.99 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Aug 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 470.09 | $0.679 | $380.77 | +$61.35 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 24 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.540 | $13.5 | 13d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:48 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 20:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:48 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.9K and losing ones cost $1.57K across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $337.63 on “Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary…” (Yes); the largest loss, $711.09 on “Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?” (No).
It first traded on 3 Mar 2026 and most recently on 11 Oct 2026. It has traded 306 markets. Its open positions are worth $764.12 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 230.31 |
| $0.564 |
| $160.06 |
| +$30.06 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 143.51 | $0.658 | $102.61 | +$8.11 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 85.74 | $0.396 | $60.62 | +$26.66 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.500 | $31.75 | +$6.75 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 19.35 | $0.620 | $12.87 | +$0.87 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.180 | $5.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 29.56 | $0.406 | $5.1 | -$6.9 |
 Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 20.83 | $0.240 | $3.85 | -$1.15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | Yes | 25 | $0.540 | $0.9 | -$12.6 |
 Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $0.22 | -$1.78 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.690 |
| $34.5 |
| 14d ago |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.942 | $47.12 | 15d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.120 | $1.8 | 19d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.610 | $42.7 | 20d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 22d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | 22d ago |
 China Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja KrausAnastasia Potapova | buy | 150 | $0.750 | $112.45 | 23d ago |
| Titans vs. Ravens AND Chargers vs. Seahawks | buy | 38.1 | $0.645 | $24.56 | 24d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 29.56 | $0.406 | $12 | 24d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.890 | $7.21 | 25d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | 25d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | buy | 88.29 | $0.566 | $50 | 25d ago |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | 28d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 19.35 | $0.620 | $12 | 28d ago |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? | buy | 11.51 | $0.684 | $7.88 | 29d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.380 | $6 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
 Chiefs vs. DolphinsChiefs | buy | 69.77 | $0.860 | $60 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bengals vs. SteelersBengals | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.999 | $249.75 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.880 | $220 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?No | buy | 21.62 | $0.370 | $8 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 67.56 | $0.997 | $67.36 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 93.51 | $0.642 | $60 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.120 | $8 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 116.88 | $0.760 | $88.83 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 116.88 | $0.770 | $90 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 217.9 | $0.688 | $150 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 402.07 | $0.997 | $400.86 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 107.26 | $0.647 | $69.42 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 90.37 | $0.553 | $50 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No | buy | 104.3 | $0.863 | $90 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 192.7 | $0.830 | $160 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 120 | $0.750 | $90 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | sell | 234.93 | $0.986 | $231.64 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.180 | $6 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.