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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.83 | $0.955 | $0.81 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.047 | $0.09 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 201 |
| $0.360 |
| $72.36 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 692 | $0.360 | $249.12 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 238 | $0.930 | $221.34 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 238.23 | $0.927 | $220.78 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 169 | $0.710 | $119.99 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 453 | $0.130 | $58.89 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 594.82 | $0.130 | $77.33 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.880 | $12.32 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 72 | $0.870 | $62.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 784 | $0.032 | $25.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 786 | $0.036 | $28.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 583 | $0.200 | $116.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 583 | $0.190 | $110.77 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 169 | $0.896 | $151.42 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 117 | $0.886 | $103.66 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 247 | $0.940 | $232.18 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 193 | $0.870 | $167.91 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.720 | $100.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.952 | $38.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 268 | $0.945 | $253.26 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.032 | $7.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 301 | $0.018 | $5.42 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 308 | $0.013 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 397 | $0.550 | $218.35 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 198 | $0.967 | $191.47 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 133 | $0.510 | $67.83 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 473 | $0.510 | $241.23 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 165 | $0.955 | $157.58 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.550 | $83.05 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 209.04 | $0.660 | $137.97 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 64 | $0.640 | $40.96 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 246 | $0.957 | $235.42 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 419 | $0.510 | $213.69 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 125 | $0.690 | $86.25 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 11 | $0.808 | $8.89 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.520 | $41.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 439 | $0.520 | $228.28 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 328 | $0.014 | $4.59 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.015 | $4.92 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 93 | $0.800 | $74.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.050 | $13 | May 27, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.070 | $12.39 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 615 | $0.322 | $198.03 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 615 | $0.291 | $178.96 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 119.78 | $0.790 | $94.63 | May 25, 2026 |