Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 947.66 | $0.995 | $942.92 | Mar 13, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 846.21 |
| $0.995 |
| $841.98 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 943.98 | $0.968 | $913.77 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.028 | $29.6 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.038 | $39.5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 923.67 | $0.960 | $886.72 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 886.73 | $0.995 | $882.58 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 882.57 | $0.958 | $845.5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18No | buy | 845.5 | $0.999 | $844.48 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 844.48 | $0.970 | $818.86 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 821.32 | $0.997 | $818.86 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 821.32 | $0.998 | $819.68 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 944.33 | $0.868 | $819.68 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 944.33 | $0.868 | $819.68 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 910.76 | $0.900 | $819.68 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 910.77 | $0.910 | $828.8 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 831.29 | $0.997 | $828.8 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 831.3 | $0.995 | $827.14 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.006 | $0.07 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.53 | $0.830 | $69.33 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 27.04 | $0.740 | $20 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.938 | $5 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 90.51 | $0.994 | $90 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 90.54 | $0.994 | $90 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Trudeau out in 2024?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Dec 19, 2024 |