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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 285.8 | $0.220 | $75.74 | +$12.86 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 76 | $0.860 | $65.36 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 240 |
| $0.152 |
| $36.48 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 81.53 | $0.760 | $61.96 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.908 | $39.95 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.180 | $14.04 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.991 | $51.53 | Mar 19, 2026 |