Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.993 |
| $1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 11?Up | buy | 340 | $0.510 | $173.4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.938 | $2 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $250 in July?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.959 | $3 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.973 | $3 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.972 | $2.1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.970 | $2.2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 553.33 | $0.021 | $11.62 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 612 | $0.019 | $11.63 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 612 | $0.020 | $12.24 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 12.91 | $0.948 | $12.24 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.949 | $12.26 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.900 | $5.87 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.870 | $6.76 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.360 | $1.2K | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.362 | $1.21K | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30.99 | $0.964 | $29.87 | Oct 11, 2024 |