Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 18.19 | $0.550 | $8.64 | -$1.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.130 | $0.22 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 166.67 |
| $0.024 |
| $0.42 |
| -$3.58 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 46.51 | $0.043 | $0.02 | -$1.98 |
| sell |
| 3.33 |
| $0.180 |
| $0.6 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.040 | $0.21 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.260 | $0.51 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.120 | $0.23 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.740 | $6.27 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 39.52 | $0.051 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 26.66 | $0.100 | $2.67 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 27.88 | $0.999 | $27.85 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.580 | $1.35 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.008 | $0.62 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.023 | $0.88 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.012 | $0.57 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?No | sell | 5 | $0.008 | $0.04 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.937 | $4.69 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.982 | $26.51 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.833 | $4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.983 | $5.46 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.897 | $2.4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.810 | $1.84 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.368 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 1?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.321 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.197 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.28 | $0.973 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 28?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.520 | $1.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on February 28?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 28?Yes | buy | 4.36 | $0.330 | $1.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |