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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.380 | $1.06 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.05 |
| $0.760 |
| $5.36 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
 Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.640 | $1.07 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump make no endorsement or endorse someone other than Ken Paxton, John Cornyn, or Wesley Hunt for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.760 | $3.71 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.850 | $1.07 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Ruth Fortune be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Yes | sell | 1.94 | $0.050 | $0.1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 6.72 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?Yes | sell | 4.14 | $0.996 | $4.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.200 | $0.46 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 1?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.780 | $0.92 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.59 | $0.670 | $1.07 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | sell | 10.91 | $0.730 | $7.96 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.274 | $4.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.810 | $7.71 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.810 | $1.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?Yes | buy | 4.14 | $0.968 | $4.01 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Ruth Fortune be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Yes | buy | 1.95 | $0.550 | $1.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.460 | $1.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 1?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.900 | $1.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.670 | $1.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.14 | $0.731 | $9.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.13 | $0.730 | $9.59 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.730 | $7.67 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.663 | $4.46 | Feb 28, 2026 |