Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 146 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 12 Aug 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 24 May 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 10 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 21.5% on 1 Mar 2026. $34.11K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 146 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 12 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 42.5% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| seal7 | Yes | 14.83K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.42K |
| 0xSuperRekt | Yes | 2K |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ct-01-democratic-primary-winner
| euro-catcher | Yes | 1.34K |
| MalikNabers | Yes | 899.99 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 550.65 |
| Royal Pulse AF37 | Yes | 272.91 |
| p10ama | Yes | 181.75 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 180.5 |
| Thirsty-Breakpoint | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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