Latest trade
Jan 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:42 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Vigilant-Democracy is down $1.53K on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Jan 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:42 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 14 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Nov 1, 2025 UTC to Jan 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4PM ETUp | buy | 4.18 | $0.560 | $2.34 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-20 01:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 18:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 18:42 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-20 01:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.95K and losing ones cost $392.79 across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $567.74 on “Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?” (No); the largest loss, $186.6 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 21?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Jan 2026. It has traded 141 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 2.37 |
| $0.990 |
| $2.35 |
| Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ETUp | buy | 2.26 | $0.460 | $1.04 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ETUp | buy | 0.11 | $0.170 | $0.02 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?Up | buy | 261.54 | $0.850 | $222.31 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | sell | 19.6 | $0.629 | $12.33 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.130 | $0.91 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 0.45 | $0.160 | $0.07 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 107.89 | $0.185 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 78.29 | $0.064 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 209.84 | $0.095 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | sell | 15.78 | $0.400 | $6.31 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 15.78 | $0.317 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 25.23 | $0.040 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.