Analytics
Resolved Down on 2 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 57%. The Up side opened at 51.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 1 Nov 2025 and the lowest 43% on 2 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 43% on 2 Nov 2025. $241.92K traded over the market's life.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Nov 2025 – 2 Nov 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 2 Nov 2025 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Schizz | Up | 4.86K |
| Ru940ben | Up | 2K |
| wlfi44 | Up | 1.4K |
| Close-Pigpen | Up | 1.05K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-november-2
| exceeding | Up | 990.09 |
| kalyzomde | Up | 848.59 |
| x-y | Up | 741.61 |
| MotherMarywithus | Up | 700 |
| Premcar | Up | 461.54 |
| tombi | Up | 438.42 |
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