Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 700 | $0.106 | $38.5 | -$35.5 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.320 | $10.88 | Jul 28, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $0.53 |
| +$0.03 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 0.22 | $0.900 | $0.21 | +$0.01 |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | Yes | 0.55 | $0.110 | $0.02 | -$0.04 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 0.11 | $0.145 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | Yes | 0.11 | $0.076 | $0.01 | -$0 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 0.12 | $0.260 | $0 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 32.98 |
| $0.018 |
| $0.59 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.150 | $2.1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.150 | $15.3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.24 | $0.160 | $2.28 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.150 | $2.85 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 952.45 | $0.078 | $74.14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 13.9 | $0.930 | $12.93 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Yes | sell | 19.89 | $0.090 | $1.79 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 20.61 | $0.200 | $4.12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Yes | sell | 21.71 | $0.070 | $1.52 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 26.9 | $0.961 | $25.85 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 39.9 | $0.080 | $3.19 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 37.9 | $0.055 | $2.08 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes | sell | 49.9 | $0.240 | $11.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | sell | 51.06 | $0.224 | $11.43 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt call for 1st round recount?Yes | sell | 85.8 | $0.120 | $10.3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 403.9 | $0.011 | $4.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 470.63 | $0.130 | $61.18 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 612.25 | $0.023 | $14.08 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 612.36 | $0.049 | $29.82 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 255.74 | $0.135 | $34.65 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.130 | $28.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 50.6 | $0.740 | $37.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 51.8 | $0.250 | $12.95 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 50.67 | $0.750 | $38 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 51.92 | $0.260 | $13.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 49.9 | $0.997 | $49.75 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.9 | $0.250 | $49.98 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.710 | $8.52 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.673 | $8.08 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.85K | $0.001 | $5.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.435 | $9.14 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.803 | $20.88 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.510 | $30.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 254 | $0.110 | $27.94 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 92 | $0.360 | $33.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.49K | $0.001 | $2.49 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.006 | $12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 12 | $0.992 | $11.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 20.56 | $0.360 | $7.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 20.31 | $0.650 | $13.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 14 | $0.810 | $11.34 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.080 | $12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No | buy | 20.74 | $0.270 | $5.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |