Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Circle IPO in 2025?No | buy | 661.35 | $0.469 | $310.3 | May 19, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 909.09 |
| $0.140 |
| $127.27 |
| Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.330 | $300 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 811.32 | $0.520 | $421.89 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 413.56 | $0.116 | $47.79 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 38.06 | $0.350 | $13.32 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 363.56 | $0.138 | $50 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.133 | $6.65 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 811.32 | $0.530 | $430 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 79.3 | $0.700 | $55.51 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "moderator" during his Arizona rally?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.710 | $56.8 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.420 | $63 | Sep 1, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Yes | buy | 360.9 | $0.410 | $147.97 | Sep 1, 2024 |
 Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Germany | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Germany | buy | 240 | $0.100 | $24 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Germany | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Germany | buy | 40 | $0.430 | $17.2 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Germany | buy | 13.27 | $0.330 | $4.38 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Germany | buy | 56.32 | $0.480 | $27.03 | Jul 5, 2024 |
 Biden drops out by July 4?Yes | sell | 697.65 | $0.120 | $83.72 | Jun 28, 2024 |
| Biden drops out by July 4?Yes | buy | 697.65 | $0.124 | $86.51 | Jun 28, 2024 |
 Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.650 | $144.3 | May 22, 2024 |
 Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.310 | $77.43 | Nov 20, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | buy | 322.92 | $0.310 | $100 | Nov 20, 2023 |