Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 8 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2024 to 5 Jul 2024, the highest close was 8.8% on 1 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 5 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 3.4% on 2 Jul 2024. $4.49M traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 5:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Jun 2024 – 5 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2024 | 6.5% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MetaverseHodl | Yes | 63.61K |
| DeFiSchool1 | Yes | 42.86K |
| redblueyellow8328482 | Yes | 30.37K |
| dog33 | Yes | 12.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-drops-out-after-debate
| TuckerNash | Yes | 10.85K |
| cryptoboy5 | Yes | 10.55K |
| Nelli | Yes | 8.45K |
| gfy | Yes | 7.46K |
| berkeleyverse | Yes | 7.09K |
| Cool-Jumper | Yes | 5K |
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