Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 400 | $0.812 | $302.4 | -$22.4 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 220 | $0.962 | $211.64 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 220 |
| $0.962 |
| $211.53 |
| -$0.11 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 400 | $0.500 | $50 | -$150 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.998 |
| $149.7 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.973 | $145.95 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | sell | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 7.96 | $0.753 | $5.99 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 50 | $0.885 | $44.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 34.18 | $0.740 | $25.29 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 171.6 | $0.050 | $8.58 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | sell | 11.61 | $0.930 | $10.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.054 | $2.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.953 | $47.65 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 170 | $0.850 | $144.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 170 | $0.850 | $144.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.360 | $6.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | sell | 177.25 | $0.330 | $58.49 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.104 | $20.82 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.360 | $2.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.939 | $93.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 240 | $0.991 | $237.84 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 240 | $0.991 | $237.84 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.162 | $6.48 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.240 | $1.58 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | sell | 13.51 | $0.260 | $3.51 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | sell | 17.57 | $0.640 | $11.24 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.400 | $16 | May 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | May 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.620 | $124 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?No | sell | 19.39 | $0.380 | $7.37 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 140 | $0.966 | $135.17 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.960 | $134.4 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.984 | $98.4 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.944 | $94.4 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.943 | $282.9 | May 7, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | sell | 200 | $0.580 | $116.06 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.965 | $96.5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 171.84 | $0.925 | $159.01 | Apr 9, 2026 |