Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.74 |
| $0.890 |
| $2.44 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.810 | $2.22 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.860 | $1.01 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.880 | $1.04 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.957 | $1.4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.993 | $1.29 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.617 | $1.01 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.964 | $1.41 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 VOOI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.980 | $1.22 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.819 | $1.34 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.860 | $1.03 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.860 | $1.04 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| VOOI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.940 | $1.17 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.840 | $1.36 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.986 | $1.45 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.988 | $1.46 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.280 | $0.56 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.910 | $1.23 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.954 | $1.48 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.932 | $1.32 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.48 | $0.500 | $1.24 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | sell | 9.24 | $0.998 | $9.22 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.48 | $0.540 | $1.34 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.935 | $1.06 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 UFC Fight Night: Will Imavov win by KO/TKO/DQ?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.850 | $1.13 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 9.25 | $0.999 | $9.24 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will the US add more than 200k jobs in August?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.949 | $1.08 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will the US add more than 200k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.973 | $1.11 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.943 | $1.07 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.32 | $0.380 | $1.26 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.900 | $1.28 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.962 | $1.28 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.370 | $1.23 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.972 | $1.42 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.966 | $1.42 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.930 | $1.43 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.810 | $1.2 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.720 | $1.02 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.280 | $0.42 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.870 | $1.32 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.840 | $2.49 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Williams vs. MedicMedic | buy | 2.92 | $0.510 | $1.49 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.730 | $1.04 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.944 | $1.26 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 0.55 | $0.998 | $0.55 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.988 | $2.88 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.997 | $0.72 | Jun 1, 2025 |