Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 37.11 | $0.997 | $37 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 60.18 |
| $0.997 |
| $60 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 60.18 | $0.997 | $60 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No | buy | 50.3 | $0.994 | $50 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Bulls vs. BucksBucks | buy | 24.59 | $0.610 | $15 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Capitals vs. PenguinsCapitals | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 16.3 | $0.920 | $15 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Spurs vs. LakersLakers | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Warriors vs. KingsKings | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Timberwolves vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| 76ers vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Georgia Tech vs. DukeDuke | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 21.52 | $0.976 | $21 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18No | buy | 15.06 | $0.996 | $15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 25.05 | $0.998 | $25 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Nationals vs. BravesBraves | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Lions vs. RavensRavens | buy | 11.76 | $0.680 | $8 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 850 and 899 times September 1–30?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?No | buy | 56.01 | $0.982 | $55 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?Yes | buy | 15.42 | $0.973 | $15 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 450 | $0.997 | $448.65 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 450 | $0.998 | $449.1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?No | sell | 201 | $0.769 | $154.57 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?No | sell | 68 | $0.160 | $10.88 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.825 | $53.65 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Yes | sell | 202 | $0.094 | $19.06 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?No | sell | 210 | $0.865 | $181.65 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?No | sell | 201 | $0.960 | $192.96 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Khaled Mashal public appearance by September 19?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.053 | $6.93 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Khaled Mashal public appearance by September 19?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.135 | $4.05 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | buy | 60.42 | $0.993 | $60 | May 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.975 | $3 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.150 | $2.5 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.999 | $1.3K | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by March 31?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will X remove Community Notes before April?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will Adin Ross put on the Retardio by Sunday?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Feb 8, 2025 |