Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:59 AM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Kestrel 4889 is down $45.62 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 35 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:59 AM UTC.
$1.35 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 37 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Oct 17, 2026 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | Yes | 11.63 | $0.086 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club PlayoffsAlliance | buy | 2.2 | $0.590 | $1.3 | 1d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 14:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 02:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 02:59 UTC
polymarket positions
37 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 14:12 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $9.42 and losing ones cost $12.65 across 35 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.7 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $2.44 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 93 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.88 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.85 |
| $0.540 |
| $1 |
| $0 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.063 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 3.7 |
| $0.270 |
| $1 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | sell | 38.7 | $0.028 | $1.08 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | buy | 38.71 | $0.031 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.710 | $0.98 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.086 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | sell | 4.55 | $0.070 | $0.32 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp | sell | 1.53 | $0.360 | $0.55 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | sell | 3.12 | $0.310 | $0.97 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.900 | $2.96 | 1d ago |
 Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezElise Mertens | buy | 2.14 | $0.700 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezElise Mertens | buy | 2.42 | $0.620 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezElise Mertens | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezElise Mertens | buy | 2.17 | $0.690 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs HyperSpirit (BO1) - DraculaN Group C AND Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Insiders Esport (BO1) - DraculaN Group A | sell | 3.16 | $0.505 | $1.6 | 2d ago |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on October 19?Yes | buy | 53.77 | $0.019 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C or below on October 17?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.57 | $0.774 | $1.99 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?No | buy | 107.7 | $0.009 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Damajuana vs A NATA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | buy | 1.37 | $0.707 | $0.97 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs ex-EF Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C | buy | 1.29 | $0.753 | $0.97 | 3d ago |
| Overwatch: Team Liquid vs The Kafe (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Group Stage AND Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs | buy | 1.41 | $0.687 | $0.97 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO1) - DraculaN Group D AND Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Drama eSports (BO1) - DraculaN Group B | buy | 1.2 | $0.807 | $0.97 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs ex-EF Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C AND Overwatch: Team Liquid vs The Kafe (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Group Stage | buy | 1.17 | $0.834 | $0.97 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs AND Overwatch: VARREL vs ENTER FORCE.36 (BO7) - OCS Japan Stage 3 Playoffs | buy | 12.42 | $0.114 | $1.41 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs HyperSpirit (BO1) - DraculaN Group C AND Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Insiders Esport (BO1) - DraculaN Group A | buy | 3.16 | $0.608 | $1.92 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: WonderKids vs Revenge (BO3) - United21 Group D | buy | 2.66 | $0.727 | $1.93 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: mellren vs antidaun (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Group D AND Overwatch: Virtus.pro vs 1234 (BO5) - OCS EMEA Stage 3 Group Stage | buy | 4.39 | $0.774 | $3.39 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Phantom (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #2 Playoffs AND Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B | buy | 6.15 | $0.789 | $4.85 | 3d ago |
| Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports (BO5) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs AND LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | buy | 3.06 | $0.674 | $2.07 | 3d ago |
| M15 Monastir: Robin Bertrand vs Sergio Callejon Hernando AND LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | buy | 2.83 | $0.685 | $1.94 | 3d ago |
| Rovereto (Doubles): Haverlag/Kubka vs Basiletti/Maduzzi AND Rovereto (Doubles): Bhosale/Salden vs Salkova/Siskova | buy | 3.48 | $0.551 | $1.92 | 3d ago |
| Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs AND Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs LFO (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B | buy | 5.62 | $0.621 | $3.49 | 3d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.