Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:38 AM UTC.
Analytics
MFR40 is down $341.24 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:38 AM UTC.
$4.61 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 41 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Oct 24, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? | Yes | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.23 | +$0.23 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSpirit | buy | 5.01 | $0.910 | $4.56 | 5m ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 22:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 04:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 04:38 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 22:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $90.11 and losing ones cost $387.36 across the latest 50 settled positions. 20% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $17.45 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?” (No); the largest loss, $119.81 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 542 markets. Its open positions are worth $180.02 across 68 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5.01 |
| $0.989 |
| $4.94 |
| -$0.01 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 5.06 | $0.950 | $4.84 | +$0.03 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.06 | $0.950 | $4.84 | +$0.03 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | No | 5.07 | $0.945 | $4.83 | +$0.04 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by October 31? | No | 5 | $0.966 | $4.75 | -$0.09 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | No | 5 | $0.830 | $4.73 | +$0.58 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | Yes | 5.06 | $0.930 | $4.68 | -$0.03 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5.01 | $0.930 | $4.63 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.58 | -$0.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.920 | $4.58 | -$0.03 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | Spirit | 5.01 | $0.910 | $4.53 | -$0.03 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.650 | $4.38 | +$1.13 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | 5 | $0.647 | $4.22 | +$0.98 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 5 | $0.822 | $4.19 | +$0.08 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | Yes | 5 | $0.640 | $3.98 | +$0.78 |
 Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | Under | 4.98 | $0.613 | $3.86 | +$0.81 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | Yes | 5.84 | $0.740 | $3.85 | -$0.47 |
 Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | $0 |
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | Yes | 244.44 | $0.009 | $3.79 | +$1.59 |
 Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.750 | $3.77 | +$0.02 |
| Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar? | Verstappen | 4.88 | $0.850 | $3.64 | -$0.51 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.710 | $3.58 | +$0.03 |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 5 | $0.720 | $3.58 | -$0.03 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 5 | $0.690 | $3.58 | +$0.13 |
| sell |
| 5.01 |
| $0.991 |
| $4.96 |
| 42m ago |
| Monterey Bay FC vs. Las Vegas Lights: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.61 | 46m ago |
 Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 42.5Over | buy | 4.98 | $0.540 | $2.69 | 52m ago |
 CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.61 | 1h ago |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.822 | $4.11 | 1h ago |
 Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs | sell | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | 2h ago |
| Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?Verstappen | buy | 4.88 | $0.850 | $4.15 | 2h ago |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs | buy | 5.01 | $0.900 | $4.51 | 2h ago |
| Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerInfinite | buy | 0.65 | $0.410 | $0.27 | 2h ago |
 Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | buy | 14.75 | $0.143 | $2.11 | 2h ago |
 Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs. Colon de Santa Fe: Colon de Santa Fe O/U 1.5Over | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | 2h ago |
 Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Over | sell | 5.07 | $0.999 | $5.06 | 2h ago |
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs. Colon de Santa Fe: Colon de Santa Fe O/U 1.5Over | buy | 5.01 | $0.910 | $4.56 | 2h ago |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 2h ago |
 Portland Timbers vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 5.06 | $0.320 | $1.62 | 3h ago |
| Portland Timbers vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 4.98 | $0.530 | $2.64 | 3h ago |
| Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.290 | $1.47 | 3h ago |
| San Diego FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 5.06 | $0.330 | $1.67 | 3h ago |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.966 | $4.83 | 3h ago |
| Will Pittsburgh Riverhounds win on 2026-10-24?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | 3h ago |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No | buy | 19.09 | $0.110 | $2.1 | 3h ago |
| Will Pittsburgh Riverhounds win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.880 | $4.41 | 4h ago |
| Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5Under | buy | 4.98 | $0.613 | $3.05 | 4h ago |
 CS 2 de Mayo vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5Over | sell | 5.01 | $0.991 | $4.96 | 4h ago |
| CS 2 de Mayo vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.61 | 4h ago |
| 49ers vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5Under | buy | 4.95 | $0.460 | $2.28 | 4h ago |
 Deportivo Maldonado vs. Danubio FC: O/U 2.5Over | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | 4h ago |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs. Danubio FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.61 | 4h ago |
 LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid | buy | 8.28 | $0.250 | $2.07 | 4h ago |
| Deportivo Madryn vs. CA San Telmo: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | 5h ago |
 CR Vasco da Gama vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.5Over | sell | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | 5h ago |
| Deportivo Madryn vs. CA San Telmo: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 5.01 | $0.910 | $4.56 | 5h ago |
| CR Vasco da Gama vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.5Over | buy | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.61 | 5h ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.990 | $4.98 | 5h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 24?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | 5h ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 25?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | 5h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 24?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | 5h ago |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10.9 | $0.185 | $2.02 | 6h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 24?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | 6h ago |
| Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | 6h ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 25?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | 6h ago |
| Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 6h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 6h ago |
 Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | 7h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.930 | $4.71 | 7h ago |
 Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Challenger League PlayoffsFURIA Esports | sell | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | 7h ago |
| Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.61 | 7h ago |
| Ferro Carril Oeste vs. CA Chaco For Ever: O/U 3.5Under | sell | 5.01 | $0.991 | $4.96 | 7h ago |
 Will KVC Westerlo win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.950 | $4.76 | 7h ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.