Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.71 | $0.042 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 67 | $0.969 | $64.92 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 83 |
| $0.034 |
| $2.82 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.029 | $2.84 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.027 | $2.65 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.965 | $10.62 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.962 | $63.49 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.680 | $44.88 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 76 | $0.800 | $60.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 39.5 | $0.810 | $32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.280 | $24.64 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.051 | $3.57 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.052 | $3.64 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.101 | $7.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.101 | $12.02 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.043 | $5.59 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.042 | $6.55 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.890 | $40.94 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.590 | $23.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 107 | $0.251 | $26.86 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.122 | $19.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.600 | $50.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.175 | $15.75 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.150 | $21.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.861 | $45.63 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.180 | $9.9 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.210 | $13.02 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 66 | $0.740 | $48.84 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 71 | $0.570 | $40.47 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.908 | $36.32 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.067 | $4.09 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.067 | $4.09 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 67 | $0.800 | $53.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 39.71 | $0.042 | $1.67 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.190 | $6.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.190 | $27.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 3 | $0.809 | $2.43 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 56 | $0.955 | $53.48 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 56 | $0.955 | $53.48 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.155 | $7.6 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.780 | $43.68 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 123 | $0.057 | $7.01 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.066 | $8.12 | May 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 128 | $0.440 | $56.32 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.440 | $56.32 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 59 | $0.870 | $51.33 | May 27, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 92 | $0.480 | $44.16 | May 21, 2026 |