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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.65 | $0.046 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.976 | $56.61 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 78 |
| $0.977 |
| $76.21 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.810 | $37.26 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 24.3 | $0.810 | $19.68 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.250 | $25.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.820 | $38.54 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 85 | $0.906 | $77.01 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 85 | $0.906 | $77.01 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 73 | $0.959 | $70.01 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.047 | $4.04 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 74 | $0.937 | $69.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 74 | $0.937 | $69.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 76 | $0.910 | $69.16 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 124 | $0.550 | $68.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 73 | $0.950 | $69.35 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.560 | $75.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.830 | $77.19 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 178 | $0.430 | $76.54 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 152 | $0.580 | $88.16 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 82 | $0.976 | $80.03 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.046 | $8.19 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.807 | $29.86 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.976 | $88.82 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.230 | $17.71 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 189 | $0.018 | $3.41 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 82 | $0.985 | $80.77 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 107 | $0.670 | $71.69 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 132 | $0.670 | $88.44 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.934 | $27.09 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 59.81 | $0.329 | $19.68 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 92 | $0.749 | $68.91 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 124 | $0.740 | $91.76 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 96 | $0.961 | $92.26 | May 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 50.47 | $0.982 | $49.56 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 94 | $0.980 | $92.12 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.961 | $45.17 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.750 | $40.5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.750 | $40.5 | May 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 94 | $0.965 | $90.71 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.061 | $4.7 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.065 | $5.01 | May 20, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.090 | $16.65 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.011 | $0.9 | May 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 27.14 | $0.320 | $8.68 | May 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 125 | $0.730 | $91.25 | May 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.360 | $7.56 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 84 | $0.985 | $82.74 | May 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 86 | $0.956 | $82.22 | May 16, 2026 |