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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 97 | $0.901 | $87.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 97 |
| $0.880 |
| $85.36 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 82 | $0.942 | $77.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 82 | $0.941 | $77.17 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 90 | $0.850 | $76.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 80 | $0.955 | $76.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 313 | $0.230 | $71.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 190 | $0.814 | $154.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 190 | $0.811 | $154.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.350 | $54.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 157 | $0.984 | $154.49 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 311 | $0.450 | $139.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 292 | $0.540 | $157.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 292 | $0.540 | $157.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 206 | $0.012 | $2.47 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 207 | $0.500 | $103.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 207 | $0.500 | $103.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 307 | $0.011 | $3.38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.019 | $0.15 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.017 | $1.79 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 175 | $0.806 | $141.05 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 158 | $0.987 | $155.95 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 158 | $0.987 | $155.95 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 11 | $0.989 | $10.88 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.150 | $15.75 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.160 | $16.8 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 162 | $0.980 | $158.76 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 162 | $0.971 | $157.3 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.956 | $114.72 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 164 | $0.957 | $156.95 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.041 | $8.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.036 | $3.67 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 123 | $0.986 | $121.28 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 213 | $0.346 | $73.7 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.033 | $5.21 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.890 | $14.24 | May 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 181 | $0.890 | $161.09 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.580 | $53.94 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 234 | $0.698 | $163.33 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 165 | $0.986 | $162.69 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 165 | $0.986 | $162.69 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 87 | $0.531 | $46.2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 307 | $0.520 | $159.64 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 134 | $0.889 | $119.13 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 9 | $0.876 | $7.88 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.082 | $13.45 | May 23, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 73 | $0.935 | $68.26 | May 14, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 73 | $0.933 | $68.11 | May 14, 2026 |