Latest trade
Feb 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:45 AM UTC.
Analytics
Smoggy-Cycle is down $10.86 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:45 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Jan 27, 2026 UTC to Feb 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | sell | 12.26 | $0.490 | $6.01 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 01:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 01:45 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.33 and losing ones cost $8.74 across 21 settled positions. 47.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.88 on “Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?” (No); the largest loss, $1.65 on “Macron out by June 30, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 27 Feb 2026. It has traded 34 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 12.09 |
| $0.370 |
| $4.48 |
| Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.023 | $0.36 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.016 | $0.89 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 98.62 | $0.034 | $3.35 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 XRP Up or Down - February 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - February 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 22.15 | $0.090 | $1.99 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 129.8 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.94 | $0.200 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?Up | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | sell | 2.74 | $0.590 | $1.62 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.7 | $0.360 | $0.97 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | sell | 2.82 | $0.770 | $2.17 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.78 | $0.350 | $0.97 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 17.47 | $0.170 | $2.97 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | sell | 5.85 | $0.990 | $5.79 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 2.29 | $0.920 | $2.11 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 2.46 | $0.790 | $1.94 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.43 | $0.400 | $0.97 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.26 | $0.430 | $0.97 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - February 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.46 | $0.670 | $0.98 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.63 | $0.051 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes | buy | 34.65 | $0.058 | $2 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 14.98 | $0.060 | $0.9 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 52.9 | $0.036 | $1.91 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.180 | $1.06 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.044 | $0.85 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?Yes | buy | 239 | $0.011 | $2.64 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?No | sell | 6.9 | $0.991 | $6.84 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.284 | $1.96 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.