Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 40% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 40% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 11.5% on 2 Jan 2026. $54.06K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 1:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 40.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aggressive-Scenery | Yes | 575.29 |
| ACara | Yes | 503.38 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025
| ichmagmoneten | Yes | 309.14 |
| Noisy-Bolero | Yes | 284.55 |
| Azure Tide 01FC | Yes | 240 |
| Noobius | Yes | 214.34 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 201.64 |
| Diogenes.II | Yes | 182.83 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 163 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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