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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?No | buy | 115.69 | $0.510 | $59 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 50.07 |
| $0.764 |
| $38.28 |
| Oct 3, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 50.07 | $0.850 | $42.56 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | sell | 43.47 | $0.979 | $42.56 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 20.88 | $0.590 | $12.32 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 260.4 | $0.045 | $11.72 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 260.4 | $0.069 | $18 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 109.43 | $0.170 | $18.6 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 270.99 | $0.259 | $70.27 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.740 | $40 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.44 | $0.618 | $67.67 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 105.25 | $0.021 | $2.17 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 115.07 | $0.730 | $84 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 105.25 | $0.067 | $7 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 16.22 | $0.740 | $12 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $108,000 on July 14?No | buy | 103.14 | $0.048 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |