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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 101.61 | $0.984 | $99.73 | -$0.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 101.61 | $0.984 | $100 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.860 |
| $39.25 |
| -$3.75 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.78 | $0.740 | $32.26 | +$7.26 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 25.43 | $0.912 | $25.02 | +$1.82 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | Yes | 23.31 | $0.608 | $18.96 | +$4.8 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.260 | $11.6 | +$1.2 |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 10.82 | $0.924 | $9.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17.54 | $0.570 | $9.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.490 | $5.25 | +$0.35 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | Yes | 9.54 | $0.524 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.900 | $4.61 | -$0.39 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.180 | $2.13 | -$2.38 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
| buy |
| 10.82 |
| $0.924 |
| $10 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | 2d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 25.25 | $0.401 | $10.13 | 2d ago |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Yes | buy | 9.54 | $0.524 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 2d ago |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 17 | $0.588 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.367 | $3.39 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.335 | $1.34 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.700 | $4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 16.42 | $0.806 | $13.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.710 | $1.26 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.216 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.012 | $5.45 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | sell | 50 | $0.472 | $23.61 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.944 | $47.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.220 | $3.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.290 | $4.35 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |