Tiny-Bagpipe has made $1.06K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 3.41K | $0.075 | $196.12 | -$58.88 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 18:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 05:38 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 18:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.42K and losing ones cost $1.29K across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1K on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $175.78 on “Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?” (Yes).
It has traded 273 markets. Its open positions are worth $332.42 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.85K |
| $0.154 |
| $60.26 |
| -$224.74 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.38K | $0.005 | $21.52 | -$5.38 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3K | $0.013 | $19.5 | -$18.29 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.07K | $0.056 | $14.4 | -$45.6 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.72K | $0.026 | $6.79 | -$63.51 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 20.75 | $0.212 | $4.77 | +$0.37 |
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.012 | $3.49 | -$13.47 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 504 | $0.007 | $3.28 | -$0.53 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 30.77 | $0.130 | $1.69 | -$2.31 |
Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 237.88 | $0.004 | $0.59 | -$0.41 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.