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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.42 | $0.042 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 53 | $0.760 | $40.28 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 9 |
| $0.780 |
| $7.02 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 44.58 | $0.770 | $34.33 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.460 | $6.44 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.460 | $6.44 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.500 | $5.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 169 | $0.194 | $32.79 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.300 | $20.1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.300 | $20.1 | May 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.503 | $13.58 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.500 | $44.5 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.029 | $4.06 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.042 | $7.14 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.955 | $19.1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 67.42 | $0.042 | $2.83 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 44 | $0.987 | $43.43 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.987 | $43.43 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.984 | $48.22 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.339 | $16.95 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 46 | $0.955 | $43.93 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 14 | $0.958 | $13.41 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 51 | $0.961 | $49.01 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 51 | $0.959 | $48.91 | May 26, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.992 | $0.99 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 11 | $0.991 | $10.9 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.986 | $1.7 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.984 | $14.76 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.085 | $1.87 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.974 | $19.48 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.984 | $19.68 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 20 | $0.992 | $19.84 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No | sell | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No | buy | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | May 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 20 | $0.986 | $19.72 | May 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 20 | $0.993 | $19.86 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.015 | $2.46 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 11 | $0.967 | $10.64 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 11 | $0.935 | $10.29 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.982 | $10.8 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No | sell | 11 | $0.963 | $10.59 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No | buy | 11 | $0.963 | $10.59 | Mar 21, 2025 |