Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 71 | $0.760 | $53.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 53 |
| $0.920 |
| $48.76 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.140 | $2.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.153 | $2.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.690 | $37.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 54 | $0.948 | $51.19 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.943 | $50.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.056 | $5.54 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.045 | $7.34 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 70 | $0.710 | $49.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 70 | $0.680 | $47.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.029 | $2.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 23 | $0.530 | $12.19 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 23 | $0.540 | $12.42 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | sell | 11.42 | $0.170 | $1.94 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.210 | $14.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 147 | $0.015 | $2.21 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 138 | $0.016 | $2.21 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.015 | $2.34 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.984 | $44.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.200 | $32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.190 | $30.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.977 | $42.99 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.013 | $0.35 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1 | $0.885 | $0.89 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.951 | $9.51 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?No | sell | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?No | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.979 | $6.85 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.977 | $6.84 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.968 | $6.78 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in June?No | sell | 7 | $0.993 | $6.95 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | buy | 7 | $0.977 | $6.84 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?No | buy | 16 | $0.978 | $15.65 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 17 | $0.920 | $15.64 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No | buy | 17 | $0.957 | $16.27 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No | buy | 16 | $0.989 | $15.82 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.991 | $15.86 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.990 | $15.84 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 16 | $0.987 | $15.79 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 16 | $0.990 | $15.84 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.973 | $15.57 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 6?No | sell | 16 | $0.976 | $15.62 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.990 | $1.77 | May 20, 2025 |