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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?No | sell | 16.58 | $0.977 | $16.2 | Mar 2, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 87.94 |
| $0.978 |
| $86.01 |
| Mar 2, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 43 | $0.985 | $42.36 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 13 | $0.930 | $12.09 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.920 | $20.24 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 60.57 | $0.840 | $50.88 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 59.3 | $0.860 | $51 | Dec 11, 2024 |