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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.280 | $1.61 | -$8.39 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 42.86 |
| $0.070 |
| $3 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | sell | 123.71 | $0.960 | $118.76 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 123.72 | $0.960 | $118.77 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 928.56 | $0.011 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 49.4 | $0.920 | $45.45 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.041 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 175.22 | $0.823 | $144.21 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 282.76 | $0.460 | $130.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 388.88 | $0.012 | $4.68 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 388.89 | $0.018 | $7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 134.82 | $0.982 | $132.39 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.77 | $0.956 | $16.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 369.23 | $0.046 | $16.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.06 | $0.965 | $112.96 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 114.43 | $0.980 | $112.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 114.44 | $0.376 | $43 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 545.45 | $0.080 | $43.64 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 369.23 | $0.910 | $336 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 545.45 | $0.220 | $120 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?No | sell | 724.1 | $0.630 | $456.18 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?No | buy | 724.11 | $0.650 | $470.51 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.031 | $0.46 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 41.02 | $0.860 | $35.28 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.200 | $11 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.018 | $23 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.016 | $6 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.071 | $1 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 466.67 | $0.015 | $7 | Mar 12, 2025 |